I’ve been thinking this myself for awhile now:
The AP-KN poll has tracked a group of people and their views since the beginning of the 2008 presidential campaign. Among all 2008 voters, 51 percent say he deserves to be defeated in November 2012 while 47 percent support his re-election — essentially a tie. [A tie if 51 = 47 in your universe – ed.]
Among Democrats, 47 percent say Obama should be challenged for the 2012 nomination and 51 percent say he should not be opposed. [Note it’s not “essentially a tie” this time, so 47 doesn’t equal 51 – ed.] Those favoring a contest include most who backed Hillary Rodham Clinton’s unsuccessful faceoff against Obama for the 2008 nomination. The poll did not ask if Democrats would support particular challengers.
If Obama ignores the people’s will and fights Congress, it could backfire on him. Frankly, he’ll have to opt for some Clintonesque triangulation.